杭州夜网论坛 kklvdsq Is the food crisis coming?Expert: China is rich in staple foods

Is the food crisis coming?Expert: China is rich in staple foods

Is the “food crisis” coming?Expert: China is rich in staple foods
Six countries have recently announced a ban on grain exports; experts said that global food production and supply problems are not large, and the accumulation of rice, wheat and other staple foods in China has transformed into a new global epidemic. The recent spread of Vietnam, Thailand, Kazakhstan, Egypt, Serbia and CambodiaThe six countries have successively announced a ban on grain exports.  Is the global food crisis coming?In the opinion of many experts, the epidemic situation will not have a great impact on the production and supply of global food, but the global food supply chain will have a conductive impact.Some experts reminded that under the epidemic, the core of the global food problem lies in Africa.”Once the epidemic spreads in Africa on a large scale, it will further aggravate the global food crisis.”On March 31, the World Health Organization, the United Nations Health Organization and the United Nations Trade and World Trade Organization issued a joint statement, and while many countries took measures to prevent the epidemic, the impact of the epidemic on the food supply chain should be reduced to prevent this publicThe health crisis triggered a food crisis.  Will China face a food crisis?From the perspective of many experts, the quantity of rice, wheat and other staple foods in China is sufficient.However, as the world’s largest importer of soybeans, the supply of soybeans is expected to be a “barrier” to China’s grain this year.  ”China has too many staple grains such as rice and wheat.” Some countries restrict grain exports, and the global grain supply chain is not smooth, which has caused many people to pollute China’s grain supply.  Among them, the stock market first heard the trend.As of the close of April 1, Jinjian Rice Industry had a daily limit of 6 days in the past 8 trading days, the Agricultural Development and Seed Industry had a daily limit of 3 days in the past 5 trading days, Jingliang Holdings had a daily limit of 3 days in the past 5 trading days, and Huifa FoodsDay limit.  ”At present, there are problems on the production and supply sides of grain, but in the context of the closure of many countries, some grain supply chains have been temporarily interrupted.”Food and food as emergency supplies are most likely to cause panic, and panic itself will aggravate the hoarding of food, and also easily lead to hype in the capital market.Said Liu Shouying, Dean of the School of Economics, Renmin University of China.  In Liu Shouying’s view, the current problem of China’s grain is not a problem of accumulation, but also a problem of structure.”In terms of quantity, China’s rice, wheat and other staple foods are sufficient.”The data shows that China’s wheat output is at 1.300 million to 1.400 million tons has been maintained for many years, and the import volume as a preparation is around 500; the total import volume of rice and rice in China in 2019 is 255 tons, accounting for 1% of domestic consumption in that year.28%.China ‘s corn demand is also mainly sustainable domestic supply, with corn imports accounting for 1% of domestic consumption in 2019.72%.  ”There are not many staple foods imported from China, mainly industrial grains, seed grains, feed grains, etc.China has a relatively complete grain reserve system, and its inventory is very large, so it can cope with the crisis.Said Dang Guoying, a researcher at the Rural Development Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.  In a previous interview, Wang Liaowei, a senior economist at the National Grain and Oil Information Center, also said in an interview with Xinhua News Agency that the total output of grain crops has stabilized at 6 for five consecutive years.More than 500 million tons, the system of saving grain reserves has been continuously improved, the grain reserves are sufficient, and the stocks of rations such as wheat and rice are at the highest level in history.”Major exporting countries’ measures to restrict exports may aggravate changes in food prices in the international market, but have little impact on the current food market.”” Soybeans will be a ‘can’ of China’s grain this year. “However, it is said that unlike wheat, rice, and corn, China’s soybean demand is mainly solved by imports. It is the world’s largest soybean importer.According to data released by the General Administration of Customs, China’s total soybean imports in 2019 will be 8551.One digit, the second highest peak in history.Among them, Brazil, the United States, and Argentina are major importers of Chinese soybeans.  ”Although the impact of the outbreaks in the United States, Brazil, and Argentina on soybean exports needs to be evaluated, in the short term, China cannot replace this part, and the supply of the Chinese soybean market will be affected.Looking further, if the smooth flow between economic activities cannot be restored in time, the pressure of difficult soybean imports will become the price, and prices will increase.Liu Shouying said that the epidemic situation will not have much impact on China’s large grain supply, but it will exacerbate structural contradictions. The supply of soybeans will be a “barrier” to China’s grain this year.  Dang Guoying also said that the obstruction of imports of soybeans and other feeds will bring pressure on pig companies or pig farms.”So far, African swine fever has significantly increased the number of pigs raised this year, and the demand for feed such as soybean meal has increased accordingly.”In the current grain supplement, feed grain supplement will be more redundant.”At present, the epidemic situation in Brazil and Argentina is serious.As of 18:00 on March 30 local time, a total of 4579 cases of new coronary pneumonia were diagnosed in Brazil.The Brazilian government announced that from March 30, all foreign citizens who do not hold Brazilian ID cards will not be allowed to enter Brazil by plane.Argentina, the world’s first soybean meal and soybean oil exporter, has 820 new cases of pneumonia. Argentine President Fernandez said on March 29 that he would extend the country’s mandatory isolation period to mid-four months.  Will the “core of the global food problem be in Africa” will cause the global food crisis?  Dang Guoying believes that the reduction in global food production has caused a significant reduction in output due to the epidemic, mainly due to the problem of obstructed international trade caused by poor international flow, and the epidemic will not cause serious problems.”And the average country will have at least three months of food reserves to respond to natural disasters or emergencies.”Liu Shouying holds a similar view.In Liu Shouying’s view, the epidemic will not have much impact on global food production and supply, but the impact of the global food supply chain.  ”The epidemic mainly occurs in large cities, and it will not have too much impact on the rural areas where food is produced, so it will not cause too many problems for global food production and supply.”” Liu Shouying also said that the epidemic is too contagious. Every country must strike a balance between the supremacy of life and economic loss. Many countries around the world have to implement a war epidemic system, strictly restrict the flow of foreign people and logistics entry, and cutThe normal circulation of global economic activity also cuts off the global food supply chain.  Liu Shouying specially reminded that to discuss whether a global food crisis will occur, special attention should be paid to the spread of the epidemic in Africa.”Once the epidemic spreads in Africa on a large scale, it will exacerbate the global food crisis, and the core of the global food problem lies in Africa.”The food production capacity of the African region is already sufficient. The medical and epidemic prevention system in the African region is very imperfect, and the medical resources are inadequate.Once the epidemic spreads in Africa on a large scale, there are a large number of people in need of assistance-both medical and food assistance.”Liu Shouying said that under the impact of the epidemic, all countries in the world must participate in food aid to Africa. This will impede the impact of the global food market and further exacerbate the pressure on global food supply.”I am most worried now, and what I think is the most worthy of attention at present-once the epidemic spreads in Africa, it will inevitably aggravate the health, life and food safety of the global population.”” Sauna, Ye Wang Hou Runfang

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